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A Note on "Predicting Returns with Financial Ratios"

A Note on "Predicting Returns with Financial Ratios"
Author(s): Goyal, Amit and Welch, Ivo
Year: 2003
Paper Number: GBS-FIN-2003-002
Goizueta Department: Finance

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Abstract

This note reinterprets methods that seek to use the aggregate dividend price ratio to predict aggregate stock market returns; specifically, methods which use information about time-varying changes in the dividend-price ratio process to improve the prediction equation. It argues that the empirical evidence is still too weak to suggest practical usefulness of these estimators.

Subjects:Business > Finance
Notes:Contact: Amit Goyal, amit_goyal@bus.emory.edu, 404-727-4825
Deposited On:16 May 2005
Alternative Locations:http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=486265
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